{"id":3239,"date":"2021-02-15T16:02:00","date_gmt":"2021-02-15T15:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/?p=3239"},"modified":"2022-10-17T19:06:30","modified_gmt":"2022-10-17T17:06:30","slug":"fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/","title":{"rendered":"Fontenay-aux-Roses r\u00e9siste mieux au Covid"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

L\u2019Insee vient de publier une cartographie <\/a>permettant de connaitre le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s en 2020 et leur \u00e9volution dans chaque commune par rapport \u00e0 2019. On y apprend ainsi instantan\u00e9ment qu\u2019il y a eu en 2020 197 d\u00e9c\u00e8s de sc\u00e9ens (chiffre provisoire), en hausse de 20,1 % par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019an dernier. La carte permet de visualiser imm\u00e9diatement les m\u00eames donn\u00e9es dans les villes voisines et d\u2019\u00e9tablir le graphique ci-dessous :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comme on peut le voir, Sceaux et la plupart des communes voisines ont eu une sur mortalit\u00e9 sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la moyenne fran\u00e7aise. Verri\u00e8res le Buisson et Fontenay aux Roses font exception. Le r\u00e9sultat en Ile de France est plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que la moyenne fran\u00e7aise : on sait que la premi\u00e8re vague Covid a particuli\u00e8rement touch\u00e9 notre r\u00e9gion. La surmortalit\u00e9 de Sceaux est un peu sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 celle de la r\u00e9gion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On ne peut qu\u2019\u00eatre frapp\u00e9 par la grande diversit\u00e9 des r\u00e9sultats : comment expliquer la tr\u00e8s forte surmortalit\u00e9 de Bagneux (37,3%) et l\u2019absence de surmortalit\u00e9 \u00e0 Fontenay aux Roses ? On peut en effet estimer que le hasard statistique, sur des valeurs assez limit\u00e9es, explique sans aucun probl\u00e8me les variations autour du taux observ\u00e9 \u00e0 Sceaux : les villes de Chatillon, Le Plessis Robinson, Sceaux, Clamart, Ch\u00e2tenay-Malabry ont une surmortalit\u00e9 assez comparable. Un peu plus \u00e9loign\u00e9es, on peut \u00e9ventuellement en dire autant pour Fresnes et Bourg la reine (surmortalit\u00e9 plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e) ainsi que pour l\u2019Hay les Roses et Antony (surmortalit\u00e9 plus basse). Il n\u2019en est pas de m\u00eame pour Chevilly Larue et Bagneux d\u2019un c\u00f4t\u00e9, pour Verri\u00e8res le Buisson et Fontenay aux Roses de l\u2019autre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tentative d\u2019explications<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

On sait que la mortalit\u00e9 due au virus augmente fortement avec l\u2019\u00e2ge, et qu\u2019il y a eu beaucoup de morts dans les Ehpad. D\u2019o\u00f9 l\u2019id\u00e9e de comparer le nombre de maisons de retraites selon les villes. On s\u2019aper\u00e7oit qu\u2019il en existe dans chacune des communes, sans exception, mais qu\u2019il n\u2019y en a pas plus dans les villes ayant eu plus de surmortalit\u00e9 : il y a ainsi 2 maisons de retraite \u00e0 Chevilly et 4 \u00e0 Bagneux (ville deux fois plus peupl\u00e9e que Sceaux, qui abrite \u00e9galement 4 maisons de retraite). En revanche, Verri\u00e8res, ville de 15 000 habitants compte 5 maisons de retraite et Fontenay aux Roses 3 !<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La cartographie de l\u2019Insee permet aussi d\u2019observer la part de plus de 65 ans dans la population (voir graphique ci-dessous). Il apparait une fois de plus qu\u2019il ne s\u2019agit pas d\u2019un facteur explicatif : les villes ayant le plus de surmortalit\u00e9 font partie de celles qui ont le moins de seniors !<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

La pauvret\u00e9, vrai facteur de risque<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e9but juillet, l\u2019Insee a fait paraitre une \u00e9tude<\/a> montrant \u00ab une hausse des d\u00e9c\u00e8s deux fois plus forte pour les personnes n\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger que pour celles n\u00e9es en France en mars-avril 2020 \u00bb. L\u2019\u00e9cart est m\u00eame plus important si l\u2019on regarde la seule r\u00e9gion Ile de France :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019\u00e9tude explique ces diff\u00e9rences par les conditions de vie et d\u2019emploi :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019environnement des personnes (conditions de logement, utilisation des transports en commun, profession exerc\u00e9e, etc.) a sans doute jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le dans l\u2019ampleur de la hausse des d\u00e9c\u00e8s pendant la pand\u00e9mie et sur les possibilit\u00e9s de distanciation physique\u2026 Elles ont les logements les plus exigus\u2026utilisent habituellement le plus les transports en commun pour aller travailler\u2026sont parmi les plus expos\u00e9es au risque de contamination en raison de leur m\u00e9tier. On retient parmi les \u00ab travailleurs cl\u00e9s \u00bb les personnels de sant\u00e9, les aides-soignants, les pharmaciens, les ambulanciers, les personnels de la Poste, des forces de l\u2019ordre, des transports publics, les pompiers, les personnes travaillant dans la vente de produits alimentaires, les livreurs, les buralistes et les agents de nettoyage, professions en contact avec le public et qui ont souvent continu\u00e9 \u00e0 travailler sur site pendant la p\u00e9riode de confinement.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette approche semble donner des r\u00e9sultats plus convaincants, du moins en ce qui concerne les deux villes qui ont le plus de sur mortalit\u00e9, Chevilly-Larue et Bagneux. Des 13 villes observ\u00e9es, Bagneux est celle qui a le plus de logements sociaux (de tr\u00e8s loin), le plus faible pourcentage de m\u00e9nages imposables et le revenu m\u00e9dian le plus bas. Sur ces m\u00eames crit\u00e8res, Chevilly-Larue arrive en deuxi\u00e8me place, derri\u00e8re Bagneux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Attention, pour mieux montrer les \u00e9carts, l’axe vertical ne commence pas \u00e0 0 sur les deux premiers graphiques<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, Verri\u00e8res le Buisson a la plus grande part de m\u00e9nages imposables, le revenu m\u00e9dian le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 (juste devant Sceaux) et la part la plus faible de logements sociaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le r\u00e9sultat de Fontenay aux Roses, avec ses 43 % de logements sociaux (autant que Chevilly-Larue) et des crit\u00e8res de richesse qui mette la ville dans la moyenne de l\u2019ensemble, parait d\u2019autant plus remarquable. On pourra supposer que la ville a su \u00e9viter l\u2019entr\u00e9e du virus dans chacune de ses trois maisons de retraite ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A l\u2019aune de ses analyses, la performance de Sceaux, la plus riche des 13 villes, avec Verri\u00e8res, n\u2019apparait pas particuli\u00e8rement remarquable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019Insee vient de publier une cartographie permettant de connaitre le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s en 2020 et leur \u00e9volution dans chaque commune par rapport \u00e0 2019. On y apprend ainsi instantan\u00e9ment qu\u2019il y a eu en 2020 197 d\u00e9c\u00e8s de sc\u00e9ens (chiffre provisoire), en hausse de 20,1 % par rapport \u00e0…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":3366,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[53,264],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyses","category-fontenay-aux-roses","entry","simple"],"yoast_head":"\nFontenay-aux-Roses r\u00e9siste mieux au Covid - La Gazette<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fontenay-aux-Roses r\u00e9siste mieux au Covid - La Gazette\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019Insee vient de publier une cartographie permettant de connaitre le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s en 2020 et leur \u00e9volution dans chaque commune par rapport \u00e0 2019. On y apprend ainsi instantan\u00e9ment qu\u2019il y a eu en 2020 197 d\u00e9c\u00e8s de sc\u00e9ens (chiffre provisoire), en hausse de 20,1 % par rapport \u00e0…\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"La Gazette\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-02-15T15:02:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-17T17:06:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Logo-Fontenay-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"912\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"371\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"G\u00e9rard Bardier\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"G\u00e9rard Bardier\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"G\u00e9rard Bardier\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/#\/schema\/person\/5650e206a121f68c6f5e76379bccfbc4\"},\"headline\":\"Fontenay-aux-Roses r\u00e9siste mieux au Covid\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-02-15T15:02:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-10-17T17:06:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\"},\"wordCount\":910,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Logo-Fontenay-1.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Analyses\",\"Fontenay-aux-Roses\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sceaux-lagazette.fr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/15\/fontenay-aux-roses-resiste-mieux-au-covid\/\",\"name\":\"Fontenay-aux-Roses r\u00e9siste mieux au Covid - 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